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	<title>LA Philanthropy Watch &#187; $50 million pledge</title>
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		<title>Signs of the Times: Some Good, Some Bad Economic News</title>
		<link>http://www.laphilanthropywatch.com/2009/signs-of-the-times-some-good-some-bad-economic-news/</link>
		<comments>http://www.laphilanthropywatch.com/2009/signs-of-the-times-some-good-some-bad-economic-news/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2009 23:31:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$50 million pledge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Berkshire Hathaway]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Burlington Northern]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CIT group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Conference Board]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[George Soros]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Institute of New Economic Thinking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LAUSD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Online Job Listings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Public Policy / Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recovery Act]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sign of the Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployement Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Warren Buffett]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.laphilanthropywatch.com/?p=3283</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Signs of the Times (a recurring feature of LA Philanthropy Watch) is a look at recent news about the economy.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>1. CNNMoney has a report on &#8220;Stressful jobs that pay badly,&#8221; and the list includes fundraisers &#8211; 67% of whom say their jobs are stressful.  &#8220;Add in a recession and their job gets even more difficult. But fundraisers must persevere in order to keep worthy charities and non-profit organizations running.&#8221;  Nonetheless, it&#8217;s better to have a job than not.</p>
<p>2. The national unemployment rate has risen into double-digits for the first time in 26 years &#8211; 10.2%.  Delving into the numbers, Heather Boushey at the Center for American Progress, reveals <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/11/october_employment.html">a grim picture</a>:</p>
<p>&#8220;The share of the unemployed who are &#8216;long-term unemployed&#8217;—that is, out of work and searching for a job for at least six months—remains at an all-time record high of 35.6 percent (going back to 1948). The typical worker is taking 18.7 weeks to find a new job—also a record high going back to 1948.&#8221;</p>
<p>And, &#8220;9.3 million workers are employed part-time even though they would prefer a full-time jobs; and the share of the population with a job has fallen to 58.5 percent, lower than at any point since 1983; adult men’s employment rates fell to 66.7 percent, hitting another all-time low (going back to 1948); and teens are seeing their worst labor market ever—unemployment among 16- to 19-year-olds is a record 27.6 percent.&#8221;</p>
<p>3. How many jobs have stimulus funds saved?</p>
<p>On October 20, the <a href="http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-education-jobs20-2009oct20,0,3456241.story"><em>LA Times</em></a> ran a story (by-line: Joe Markman) with this headline: &#8220;Stimulus saved 6,000 education jobs in L.A., report says.&#8221;  The source of this information was a White House report.</p>
<p>Since then <a href="http://www.recovery.gov/Pages/home.aspx">Recovery.gov</a> &#8211; <em>Track the Money</em> &#8211; has touted 640,329 jobs created/saved (as of 10/30/2009) as reported by recipients of stimulus funds.  A <a href="http://www.recovery.gov/Transparency/RecipientReportedData/Pages/RRData.aspx">table</a> suggests 110,185 jobs created/saved in California.  Critics have complained that roughly 650,000 jobs have been created (or saved) at a cost of $160 billion.  &#8220;By the critics&#8217; calculations,&#8221; <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5giYoiStlAzAvMMSORpZg1RLRGYrQD9BN9PTG0">AP reports</a>, &#8220;that&#8217;s over $246,000 a job — and a terrible deal for taxpayers. Why spend nearly $250,000 to employ a highway worker or a teacher making a small fraction of that?&#8221; But of course &#8211; it&#8217;s not just a job for a highway worker that was created; the cost includes construction materials and creation of a highway. There must be a value to that &#8211; as well as to the teacher&#8217;s efforts on behalf of students in the classroom.</p>
<p>As I mentioned, the Recovery.gov site numbers are tallies of reports by fund recipients.  So it should probably not be surprising that a call to LAUSD&#8217;s communications office yielded figures even rosier than the administration&#8217;s: Stimulus funds received by the district &#8211; $358.8 million.  Jobs saved &#8211; 7,601.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s only $47,200 a year per job.  Feel better?</p>
<p>4. Warren Buffett says of Berkshire Hathaway&#8217;s purchase of the Burlington Northern &#8220;It&#8217;s an all-in wager on the economic future of the United States.&#8221;  Coming from the shrewd investor, the surprising <a href="http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-buffett4-2009nov04,0,4492044.story">purchase is regarded</a> as an expression of optimism for the direction of the economy.</p>
<p>5. The number of jobs advertised online declined by 83,200 in October the Conference Board reports (via <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/pressRelease/idUS140516+02-Nov-2009+PRN20091102">Reuters</a>).  &#8220;The September and October numbers are a further indication that, thus far, the recovery is weak,&#8221; said Gad Levanon, Senior Economist, at The Conference Board.  &#8220;Labor demand is a leading indicator of employment, and the numbers indicate that employment is not likely to rise for the rest of this year.&#8221;</p>
<p>6. The <a href="http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-cit2-2009nov02,0,3723911.story"><em>LA Times</em> reports</a> that CIT group, which provides loans to about a million businesses, filed for bankruptcy protection.    &#8220;CIT is the first firm to fail after a government bailout.&#8221;</p>
<p>7. George Soros has pledged $50 million &#8211; $5 million a year for 1o years &#8211; according to a report last week in the <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e45b353a-c2f3-11de-8eca-00144feab49a.html?nclick_check=1"><em>Financial Times</em></a> (registration required, but no subscription), to back a new economic think-tank, to be named the Institute of New Economic Thinking.  &#8220;The ideologists in the free markets are still in command and I think they’ll be very difficult to remove because they have tenure,&#8221; Mr. Soros told the Financial Times.  He hopes to &#8220;shift demand&#8221; among university students, so economics departments will offer courses of study that are less wedded to strict mathematical models that assume strictly rational behavior.  (Via <a href="http://philanthropy.com/news/?id=9958&amp;pth&amp;utm_source=pt&amp;utm_medium=newsletter&amp;utm_content=lefttop">Philanthropy Today</a>.)</p>
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